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February 22, 2012
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Defense and Military Articles

Top Story - Column

Over the Horizon: Nothing Inevitable About War With Iran

By Robert Farley 22 Feb 2012
Column

The case for attacking Iran relies on the concept of uncertainty. We don’t know if the Iranians want to build a bomb, or if they can build a bomb, or what the consequences will be if they do build a bomb. It’s understandable how so much uncertainty can trigger anxiety. What is less clear is how we arrived at the notion that airstrikes against the Iranian nuclear program can eliminate this uncertainty.

U.S.-Singapore Ties: Solid Base for an Uncertain Future

By Prashanth Parameswaran 21 Feb 2012 | Briefing

The U.S. relationship with Singapore has been and continues to be one of its most important and successful in the Asia-Pacific. Today, the city-state is America's 13th-largest trading partner, hosts U.S. naval ships in its waters and offers valuable strategic advice on a variety of policy questions. Yet while ties are at an all-time high, the relationship still faces lingering concerns and challenges.

The New Rules: U.S. Needs Chinese Partners in Asian Century

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 20 Feb 2012 | Column

The national rebuilding project now facing America has us toggling between bouts of renewed self-confidence and crippling self-doubt. But the same thread runs through both cycles of this national bipolar disorder: the assumption that we must bear this burden alone. That assumption is our greatest weakness right now. Frankly, Americans should know their own history better and trust in themselves more.

With All Eyes on Xi, What About the Rest of China's Leadership Transition?

By Catherine Cheney 17 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

Though all eyes have been on Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping this week, the heir apparent to Chinese President Hu Jintao will not be the only new face to emerge in China's leadership transition.

With Marine Basing Decision, U.S. Sidesteps Stalemate With Japan

By Catherine Cheney 15 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

After years of controversy and disagreement, the U.S. and Japan agreed last week to decouple the terms of an agreement to close the U.S. Marines’ Futenma air base in Okinawa, after negotiations over relocating the base elsewhere on the island had reached a stalemate.

Over the Horizon: Amphibious Ops a Dual-Use Tool for U.S. Policy Kit

By Robert Farley 15 Feb 2012 | Column

Over the past two weeks, the U.S. Navy and Marine Corps conducted an exercise off the Atlantic seaboard designed to refine expertise in amphibious operations and test new amphibious capabilities. The exercise demonstrated the continued importance of amphibious capabilities within the U.S. policy “toolbox,” while also providing an opportunity to refine and extend those capabilities.

Global Insider: China Aims for Operational Experience, Higher Profile With U.N. Peacekeeper Role

By The Editors 13 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

In an email interview, Courtney Richardson, a research fellow at the International Security Program at Harvard University's Belfer Center and a doctoral student at Tufts University's Fletcher School, discussed China's peacekeeping deployments.

The Realist Prism: Resetting the U.S.-Russia Reset

By Nikolas Gvosdev 10 Feb 2012 | Column

After a period of healthier ties following the much-heralded reset, U.S.-Russia relations appear to be deteriorating. Nor does the immediate future bode well for "resetting the reset." But does this mean that the U.S.-Russia relationship is doomed to fall back to a more confrontational posture, as occurred in 2007 and 2008, when analysts were warning of a "new Cold War"? That depends on several factors.

Global Insider: Russian Peacekeeping Grows with Russian Self-Identity

By The Editors 10 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

In an email interview, Alexander Nikitin, director of the Center for Euro-Atlantic Security at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, discussed Russia’s involvement with international peacekeeping.

U.S.-India Relations: Case-by-Case Basis, With No Guarantees

By Saurav Jha 09 Feb 2012 | Briefing

The United States' oft-expressed desire to support India’s emergence as a great power in fact reveals the distance that still separates the two. The U.S. struggles with India’s non-alignment impulses, while India sees relations in a globalized era as depending on balance of interests, not balance of power. This differing approach to globalization prevents the two from fully consolidating relations.

Afghanistan to Highlight Challenges of Collaboration Between Pentagon and CIA

By Catherine Cheney 09 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

CIA operatives and special operations forces, who were the first in to Afghanistan after the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, will also likely be the last out.

Over the Horizon: The A-10 Battle and Military Turf Wars

By Robert Farley 08 Feb 2012 | Column

The four-decade-and-counting saga of the A-10 Thunderbolt II aircraft continued last week, when the Air Force announced it would cut five A-10 squadrons to reduce costs. Defense wonks met the announcement with a storm of criticism, but little surprise. The fight over the A-10 represents not so much a disagreement over technology, but rather a bureaucratically driven dispute over the nature of warfare.

Global Insider: UNASUR Defense Agencies Search for Relevance

By The Editors 08 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

In an email interview, W. Alex Sanchez, a research fellow at the Council on Hemispheric Affairs, discussed UNASUR defense cooperation.

Should China Abandon its Non-Interference Policy?

By Iain Mills 08 Feb 2012 | Briefing

China's policy of non-interference in the affairs of other nations fails to protect its expanding overseas interests and has caused a trust deficit with regard to China’s intentions at an intergovernmental level. This raises the question of how long the non-interference policy can be sustained, and whether Chinese interests would be better served by abandoning it for a less rigid position.

Sudan Kidnappings Raise the Heat on China Over High-Risk Investments

By Catherine Cheney 07 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

Over the past 10 days, 54 Chinese nationals have been taken prisoner in Sudan and Egypt, putting greater pressure on China to protect its 800,000 citizens working overseas in resource-rich but high-risk investment environments.

The New Rules: Slouching Toward Great-Power War

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 06 Feb 2012 | Column

Arguably the greatest strategic gift offered by America to the world has been our consistent willingness to maintain a high entry barrier to the “market” that is great-power war. However, a case can be made that the greatest threat to this component of global stability is now a U.S. national security establishment intent on pressing the boundaries of this heretofore sacrosanct responsibility.

Global Insider: U.S. Military Satellite Partnership Goes Wideband and Global

By The Editors 06 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

In an email interview, Joseph N. Pelton, the former dean of the International Space University and director emeritus of the Space and Advanced Communications Research Institute at George Washington University, discussed the Wideband Global Satellite Partnership.

Global Insider: Despite Outpacing Competitors, India's Navy Seeks to Upgrade

By The Editors 03 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

In an email interview, James R. Holmes, a specialist in Asian sea power at the U.S. Naval War College, discussed the Indian navy.

The Realist Prism: Preparing for the 'Day After' in Syria

By Nikolas Gvosdev 03 Feb 2012 | Column

Now that the Western powers have endorsed the Arab League’s call for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to step down, even if that formulation is ultimately edited out of any U.N. Security Council resolution, it is time to start making plans for the contingencies that may erupt on "the day after." This means moving beyond the optimistic scenarios most Western policymakers continue to cling to.

New Rules of Engagement Could Limit Scope of U.S.-Pakistan Ties

By Shehzad H. Qazi 02 Feb 2012 | Briefing

On Nov. 26, NATO helicopters mistakenly killed 26 Pakistani soldiers at the Salala checkpoint. In the aftermath of the incident, Pakistan’s Parliamentary Committee on National Security began a comprehensive review of relations with the U.S. After nearly two months of deliberations, the PCNS is set to release its recommendations, with both positive and negative implications for the scope of future ties.

Global Insider: Despite Thaw, Trust Still Elusive for Colombia, Venezuela

By The Editors 01 Feb 2012 | Trend Lines

Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez last month appointed as defense minister a general allegedly linked to a Colombian rebel group, raising concerns that the move might jeopardize the two countries’ recent thaw in relations. In an email interview, Adam Isacson, senior associate for regional security at the Washington Office on Latin America, discussed the Colombia-Venezuela security relationship.